Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 379.627290 432.065110 490.715087 561.471324 644.909566 740.648742 859.498220
2025-08-10 295.641547 361.815592 442.696196 549.966253 690.216258 869.764681 1120.963569
2025-08-17 260.909772 334.965728 431.009288 566.953791 758.145175 1023.247626 1429.211223
2025-08-24 230.030139 306.357082 409.995217 564.423567 794.772273 1135.931219 1700.033130
2025-08-31 204.508254 280.639197 387.986392 554.956641 816.786060 1227.376199 1954.178359
2025-09-07 187.350405 264.110987 376.111472 557.328628 855.077142 1348.045119 2280.422644
2025-09-14 169.740860 244.699739 357.243197 545.520027 867.507877 1426.453394 2547.833948
2025-09-21 157.230791 231.508111 346.099625 544.051055 896.035185 1536.299022 2899.423211
2025-09-28 141.989908 212.558237 323.781005 520.873805 882.478956 1565.777388 3093.962755
2025-10-05 137.338370 209.873922 327.294655 542.174107 952.489111 1767.003551 3710.886481
2025-10-12 133.789740 208.556553 332.770168 567.367818 1033.475489 2005.913000 4487.382903
2025-10-19 127.095650 201.357184 327.380061 571.685571 1073.464957 2165.432123 5118.241117
2025-10-26 117.791785 189.177737 312.514023 556.981972 1073.633333 2240.024596 5560.376665
2025-11-02 109.942393 178.943652 300.281191 546.136182 1080.749834 2333.339348 6092.487496
2025-11-09 106.647180 176.432457 301.831795 562.921115 1151.245657 2595.974276 7237.619346
2025-11-16 101.150837 169.512792 294.485111 560.418769 1177.189427 2751.292153 8105.685039
2025-11-23 95.321446 161.547748 284.447794 551.032045 1185.325308 2861.100914 8866.315237
2025-11-30 91.349021 156.731321 280.084177 553.383868 1222.474208 3060.528379 10053.863014
2025-12-07 86.165685 149.273808 269.895242 541.675799 1222.401143 3152.362288 10866.395929
2025-12-14 82.464234 144.397154 264.493727 540.219303 1248.774758 3330.988898 12141.669433
2025-12-21 76.896479 135.569585 250.400504 517.237971 1214.434996 3311.833749 12528.665571
2025-12-28 75.956972 135.722571 254.842658 538.358286 1304.153763 3719.708592 15194.505419
2026-01-04 75.349016 136.477924 260.592962 563.337233 1409.687676 4215.691049 18713.855475